It's currently 14°, which is two degrees warmer than the forecast high. But AccuHunch has a handle on it. They confidently predict we'll have falling temps for the rest of the day, heading below zero tonight.
Tomorrow? Single digits, they say.
John 12:24 "Truly, truly, I say to you, unless a grain of wheat falls into the earth and dies, it remains alone; but if it dies, it bears much fruit."
Showing posts with label weather guess. Show all posts
Showing posts with label weather guess. Show all posts
24 November 2017
For Everyone Looking for Winter ...
... here's a taste. Our front yard:
It's currently 14°, which is two degrees warmer than the forecast high. But AccuHunch has a handle on it. They confidently predict we'll have falling temps for the rest of the day, heading below zero tonight.
Tomorrow? Single digits, they say.
It's currently 14°, which is two degrees warmer than the forecast high. But AccuHunch has a handle on it. They confidently predict we'll have falling temps for the rest of the day, heading below zero tonight.
Tomorrow? Single digits, they say.
09 October 2012
The Learning Curve
Attempting to forecast the weather in Alaska is an elaborate guessing game. Experienced meteorologists will admit that, but will also guess correctly more often than not ... although a "miss" can be rather epic, depending on the season. Weather patterns here are complicated by large open areas of the state surrounded on multiple sides by mountain ranges. Some, like the Alaska Range (containing Mt. McKinley) are so tall they make their own weather fronts.
In winter, forecasting clear weather when a blizzard is about to move in can be deadly to outdoorsmen, hunters, and those living on subsistence in the Bush.
The best of the weather-guessers at the most highly-watched news station in Anchorage has moved on, to the National Weather Service. His replacement on the morning newscast is (let's be charitable) inexperienced at reading Alaskan weather.
This morning, he forecast clearing skies with some sun. At 6:30am when I left home, it was drizzling and foggy. It's still raining at 2pm, as I write this.
I hope he gets better quickly. In another month, all this water will be white & fluffy ... and road conditions won't be so nice as they are today.
* * * * *
On the brighter side, it's only wet today, and that makes for a reasonably nice, late-fall day. The temps are scheduled to fall, starting tomorrow, and it could be ten degrees cooler by the weekend. If there's any precipitation then, it could well be the fluffy kind.
Speaking of the weekend, to borrow some subpoena language, the girls and I are putting aside all manner of excuse and delay, and will drive north to the Birchwood rifle range. They've both joined, and the only way a membership there will pay for itself is with regular visits when weather is amenable to travel - not something one can count on, in winter.
Have a great afternoon, friends, and thanks for stopping by.
In winter, forecasting clear weather when a blizzard is about to move in can be deadly to outdoorsmen, hunters, and those living on subsistence in the Bush.
The best of the weather-guessers at the most highly-watched news station in Anchorage has moved on, to the National Weather Service. His replacement on the morning newscast is (let's be charitable) inexperienced at reading Alaskan weather.
This morning, he forecast clearing skies with some sun. At 6:30am when I left home, it was drizzling and foggy. It's still raining at 2pm, as I write this.
I hope he gets better quickly. In another month, all this water will be white & fluffy ... and road conditions won't be so nice as they are today.
* * * * *
On the brighter side, it's only wet today, and that makes for a reasonably nice, late-fall day. The temps are scheduled to fall, starting tomorrow, and it could be ten degrees cooler by the weekend. If there's any precipitation then, it could well be the fluffy kind.
Speaking of the weekend, to borrow some subpoena language, the girls and I are putting aside all manner of excuse and delay, and will drive north to the Birchwood rifle range. They've both joined, and the only way a membership there will pay for itself is with regular visits when weather is amenable to travel - not something one can count on, in winter.
Have a great afternoon, friends, and thanks for stopping by.
29 November 2011
The Workers at AccuHunch Weather
need to try just a bit harder. Looking at the Nat'l. Weather Service's page for Anchorage today, they're showing sun & 18 degrees.
Well, no. There's no sun, because a) it's completely overcast, and b) it set several minutes ago.
They're still calling for a high - today - of 31 degrees. Okay, that's a maybe ... as in, maybe the temperature will go UP 13 more degrees between now and midnight. Possible, I suppose, but I don't know how likely.
They need to get a new hamster for their Wheel O' Guesswork.
Well, no. There's no sun, because a) it's completely overcast, and b) it set several minutes ago.
They're still calling for a high - today - of 31 degrees. Okay, that's a maybe ... as in, maybe the temperature will go UP 13 more degrees between now and midnight. Possible, I suppose, but I don't know how likely.
They need to get a new hamster for their Wheel O' Guesswork.
10 December 2009
Weather Schism
Forecast high for today:
How's that again?
Update: At 3:49 p.m., the fog remains in place. We've made it up to 15 degrees - or rather, I should say that the temperature hasn't budged since 8 a.m.
The only discernible change is the thickening frost.
"26 with plentiful sunshine. DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST TODAY."
How's that again?
Update: At 3:49 p.m., the fog remains in place. We've made it up to 15 degrees - or rather, I should say that the temperature hasn't budged since 8 a.m.
The only discernible change is the thickening frost.
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